Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration from a $47 billion annualized run rate in May to over $65 billion by July, alongside its confidential S-1 filing in June and targeted October 2026 Nasdaq debut, underpins trader positioning for a $1.75–2.5 trillion closing market cap. The company’s $965 billion May private valuation and 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion support investor expectations near or above $2 trillion, though sustaining such multiples will require continued leadership in frontier models and gross margins expanding toward 77 percent. Closely matched probabilities across the $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflect uncertainty around execution risk, competitive intensity versus OpenAI, and public-market reception for the largest-ever IPO, with upcoming public S-1 disclosure and roadshow feedback as near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.0%
$372,221 Vol.
$372,221 Vol.
<$1.25T
4%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.0%
$372,221 Vol.
$372,221 Vol.
<$1.25T
4%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration from a $47 billion annualized run rate in May to over $65 billion by July, alongside its confidential S-1 filing in June and targeted October 2026 Nasdaq debut, underpins trader positioning for a $1.75–2.5 trillion closing market cap. The company’s $965 billion May private valuation and 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion support investor expectations near or above $2 trillion, though sustaining such multiples will require continued leadership in frontier models and gross margins expanding toward 77 percent. Closely matched probabilities across the $1.5–2.5 trillion buckets reflect uncertainty around execution risk, competitive intensity versus OpenAI, and public-market reception for the largest-ever IPO, with upcoming public S-1 disclosure and roadshow feedback as near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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