Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with its annualized run rate surpassing $65 billion by late July and Q2 2026 booked revenue hitting $11.5 billion alongside the first adjusted operating profit among frontier AI labs, forms the core driver of trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. This momentum, up more than sevenfold from year-end 2025 levels and ahead of OpenAI on growth metrics, underpins expectations for a September or October listing after confidential S-1 filing, with private rounds at $965 billion and forward projections of $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 supporting $2 trillion-plus valuations. Closely matched odds across the $1.75–2.5 trillion bands reflect uncertainty over sustainable revenue multiples amid heavy compute costs, enterprise adoption rates, and benchmark comparisons to SpaceX or hyperscalers, while the negligible chance of delay past 2027 signals broad consensus on near-term execution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.0%
$368,696 Vol.
$368,696 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.0%
$368,696 Vol.
$368,696 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with its annualized run rate surpassing $65 billion by late July and Q2 2026 booked revenue hitting $11.5 billion alongside the first adjusted operating profit among frontier AI labs, forms the core driver of trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. This momentum, up more than sevenfold from year-end 2025 levels and ahead of OpenAI on growth metrics, underpins expectations for a September or October listing after confidential S-1 filing, with private rounds at $965 billion and forward projections of $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 supporting $2 trillion-plus valuations. Closely matched odds across the $1.75–2.5 trillion bands reflect uncertainty over sustainable revenue multiples amid heavy compute costs, enterprise adoption rates, and benchmark comparisons to SpaceX or hyperscalers, while the negligible chance of delay past 2027 signals broad consensus on near-term execution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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