Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, paired with its June confidential IPO filing targeting an autumn 2026 Nasdaq debut, anchors trader sentiment around the $1.25–1.50 trillion band. Enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models—particularly coding and agentic tools—has driven rapid revenue growth to roughly $47–115 billion run-rate projections, narrowing the gap with OpenAI while differentiating through safety-focused features and partnerships such as the Gates Foundation collaboration and Project Glasswing. Secondary-market bids near $1.05–1.15 trillion and analyst forecasts centering post-IPO market caps around $1.1 trillion reflect tempered expectations versus investor hopes for $2 trillion-plus pricing. Key near-term catalysts include the expected S-1 release, any new model benchmarks, and broader AI capital-spending trends that could shift resolution between the closely matched lower brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1.25–$1.50T 48%
<$1.25T 46%
$1.50–$1.75T 45%
$1.75–$2.00T 44%
<$1.25T
46%
$1.25–$1.50T
48%
$1.50–$1.75T
45%
$1.75–$2.00T
44%
$2.00–$2.25T
14%
$2.25–$2.50T
12%
$2.50T+
11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
$1.25–$1.50T 48%
<$1.25T 46%
$1.50–$1.75T 45%
$1.75–$2.00T 44%
<$1.25T
46%
$1.25–$1.50T
48%
$1.50–$1.75T
45%
$1.75–$2.00T
44%
$2.00–$2.25T
14%
$2.25–$2.50T
12%
$2.50T+
11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 9:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, paired with its June confidential IPO filing targeting an autumn 2026 Nasdaq debut, anchors trader sentiment around the $1.25–1.50 trillion band. Enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models—particularly coding and agentic tools—has driven rapid revenue growth to roughly $47–115 billion run-rate projections, narrowing the gap with OpenAI while differentiating through safety-focused features and partnerships such as the Gates Foundation collaboration and Project Glasswing. Secondary-market bids near $1.05–1.15 trillion and analyst forecasts centering post-IPO market caps around $1.1 trillion reflect tempered expectations versus investor hopes for $2 trillion-plus pricing. Key near-term catalysts include the expected S-1 release, any new model benchmarks, and broader AI capital-spending trends that could shift resolution between the closely matched lower brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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