OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation after the March round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports the 40.6% implied probability on a 1.5T+ outcome and the combined 78% chance above $1 trillion, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute costs. Recent reports of a potential 2027 listing window, rather than late-2026, have tempered timing risk but left the “no IPO by December 2027” outcome at just 15.6%. Competitive dynamics versus Anthropic and Microsoft’s ongoing stake further shape valuation multiples ahead of any public debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
1,5T+ 40.5%
1,25T–1,5T 20%
1–1,25 Billionen 18.1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 15.5%
$109,003 Vol.
$109,003 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<500 Mrd.
1%
500–750 Mrd.
2%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio.
9%
1–1,25 Billionen
18%
1,25T–1,5T
20%
1,5T+
41%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
16%
1,5T+ 40.5%
1,25T–1,5T 20%
1–1,25 Billionen 18.1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 15.5%
$109,003 Vol.
$109,003 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<500 Mrd.
$8,152 Vol.
1%
500–750 Mrd.
$9,991 Vol.
2%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio.
$11,027 Vol.
9%
1–1,25 Billionen
$15,213 Vol.
18%
1,25T–1,5T
$10,461 Vol.
20%
1,5T+
$29,789 Vol.
41%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
$24,371 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation after the March round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports the 40.6% implied probability on a 1.5T+ outcome and the combined 78% chance above $1 trillion, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute costs. Recent reports of a potential 2027 listing window, rather than late-2026, have tempered timing risk but left the “no IPO by December 2027” outcome at just 15.6%. Competitive dynamics versus Anthropic and Microsoft’s ongoing stake further shape valuation multiples ahead of any public debut.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$109,003Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation after the March round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports the 40.6% implied probability on a 1.5T+ outcome and the combined 78% chance above $1 trillion, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute costs. Recent reports of a potential 2027 listing window, rather than late-2026, have tempered timing risk but left the “no IPO by December 2027” outcome at just 15.6%. Competitive dynamics versus Anthropic and Microsoft’s ongoing stake further shape valuation multiples ahead of any public debut.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$109,003Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation after the March round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap above $1 trillion. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports the 40.6% implied probability on a 1.5T+ outcome and the combined 78% chance above $1 trillion, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute costs. Recent reports of a potential 2027 listing window, rather than late-2026, have tempered timing risk but left the “no IPO by December 2027” outcome at just 15.6%. Competitive dynamics versus Anthropic and Microsoft’s ongoing stake further shape valuation multiples ahead of any public debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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