Anthropic's rapid iteration within the Claude 5 generation drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Claude Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 benchmark performance at half the token price with a 1M-token context window, xhigh effort modes, and stronger agentic coding results on SWE-bench Verified and Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 (June 30) and Fable 5/Mythos 5 (June 9), continuing a pattern of point releases every 4–8 weeks seen across Opus 4.x variants. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 highlight ongoing efficiency gains and pricing pressure from competitors. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued fast cadence absent any announced delays or safety reviews.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$107,562 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
80%
31. Oktober
99%
31. Dezember
98%
$107,562 Vol.
30. September
$47,634 Vol.
80%
31. Oktober
$13,267 Vol.
99%
31. Dezember
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's rapid iteration within the Claude 5 generation drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Claude Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 benchmark performance at half the token price with a 1M-token context window, xhigh effort modes, and stronger agentic coding results on SWE-bench Verified and Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 (June 30) and Fable 5/Mythos 5 (June 9), continuing a pattern of point releases every 4–8 weeks seen across Opus 4.x variants. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 highlight ongoing efficiency gains and pricing pressure from competitors. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued fast cadence absent any announced delays or safety reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volumen
$107,562Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's rapid iteration within the Claude 5 generation drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Claude Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 benchmark performance at half the token price with a 1M-token context window, xhigh effort modes, and stronger agentic coding results on SWE-bench Verified and Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 (June 30) and Fable 5/Mythos 5 (June 9), continuing a pattern of point releases every 4–8 weeks seen across Opus 4.x variants. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 highlight ongoing efficiency gains and pricing pressure from competitors. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued fast cadence absent any announced delays or safety reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$107,562Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's rapid iteration within the Claude 5 generation drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Claude Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 benchmark performance at half the token price with a 1M-token context window, xhigh effort modes, and stronger agentic coding results on SWE-bench Verified and Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 (June 30) and Fable 5/Mythos 5 (June 9), continuing a pattern of point releases every 4–8 weeks seen across Opus 4.x variants. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1 highlight ongoing efficiency gains and pricing pressure from competitors. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued fast cadence absent any announced delays or safety reviews.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen