OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof for statements C and D of the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, accompanied by a public Lean formalization, anchors the 91% market-implied probability against retraction. The result emerged from roughly 10,000 concurrent agents powered by an internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, after 88 hours and hundreds of billions of tokens, with the company explicitly declining the Millennium Prize. Ongoing priority and data-use debates with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and credit rather than outright invalidity, while the verifiable Lean artifact and lack of identified errors sustain trader conviction. Realistic challenges include independent mathematicians uncovering subtle flaws during peer review or the Clay Institute rejecting the forced-variant framing before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
9% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
9% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof for statements C and D of the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, accompanied by a public Lean formalization, anchors the 91% market-implied probability against retraction. The result emerged from roughly 10,000 concurrent agents powered by an internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, after 88 hours and hundreds of billions of tokens, with the company explicitly declining the Millennium Prize. Ongoing priority and data-use debates with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and credit rather than outright invalidity, while the verifiable Lean artifact and lack of identified errors sustain trader conviction. Realistic challenges include independent mathematicians uncovering subtle flaws during peer review or the Clay Institute rejecting the forced-variant framing before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volumen
$50Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof for statements C and D of the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, accompanied by a public Lean formalization, anchors the 91% market-implied probability against retraction. The result emerged from roughly 10,000 concurrent agents powered by an internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, after 88 hours and hundreds of billions of tokens, with the company explicitly declining the Millennium Prize. Ongoing priority and data-use debates with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and credit rather than outright invalidity, while the verifiable Lean artifact and lack of identified errors sustain trader conviction. Realistic challenges include independent mathematicians uncovering subtle flaws during peer review or the Clay Institute rejecting the forced-variant framing before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$50Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof for statements C and D of the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, accompanied by a public Lean formalization, anchors the 91% market-implied probability against retraction. The result emerged from roughly 10,000 concurrent agents powered by an internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, after 88 hours and hundreds of billions of tokens, with the company explicitly declining the Millennium Prize. Ongoing priority and data-use debates with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and credit rather than outright invalidity, while the verifiable Lean artifact and lack of identified errors sustain trader conviction. Realistic challenges include independent mathematicians uncovering subtle flaws during peer review or the Clay Institute rejecting the forced-variant framing before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen