SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$393,631 Vol.
$393,631 Vol.
<40 Mrd.
Nein
40-50 Mrd.
Nein
50-60 Mrd.
Nein
60-70 Mrd.
Nein
70-80 Mrd.
Ja
80-90 Mrd.
Nein
90-100 Mrd.
Nein
100-110 Mrd.
Nein
110-120 Mrd.
Nein
120 Mrd.+
Nein
$393,631 Vol.
$393,631 Vol.
<40 Mrd.
$35,861 Vol.
Nein
40-50 Mrd.
$28,476 Vol.
Nein
50-60 Mrd.
$55,241 Vol.
Nein
60-70 Mrd.
$38,320 Vol.
Nein
70-80 Mrd.
$100,385 Vol.
Ja
80-90 Mrd.
$45,193 Vol.
Nein
90-100 Mrd.
$23,857 Vol.
Nein
100-110 Mrd.
$18,685 Vol.
Nein
110-120 Mrd.
$21,511 Vol.
Nein
120 Mrd.+
$26,102 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$393,631Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$393,631Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing announcement has anchored trader consensus around a $70-80 billion raise, with the company fixing shares at $135 each to generate approximately $75 billion in gross proceeds and a $1.77 trillion valuation. This record offering, exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, reflects strong demand for the aerospace and Starlink businesses amid robust 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion and favorable equity-market conditions. Institutional allocations and roadshow momentum further reinforce the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from underwriter exercise of the overallotment option, pushing net proceeds toward $85 billion, or last-minute regulatory delays, though the priced terms limit realistic downside variance ahead of the expected Nasdaq debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen