Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, reflecting current June futures trading near $4,725 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. Persistent central bank purchases and Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran blockade risks, support upside potential, counterbalanced by a firmer U.S. dollar and spiking 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% that have delayed Fed rate cut expectations into late 2026. Goldman Sachs' revised year-end target of $5,400 underscores ETF inflows and inflation persistence, but hawkish FOMC signals cap near-term gains. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC meeting, with volatility poised around real yield thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWorum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
Worum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
4.600–5.000 $ 25%
$4.200-$4.600 20.6%
$5.000-$5.400 17.7%
$3.800-$4.200 11.8%
$906,967 Vol.
$906,967 Vol.
<$3.800
4%
$3.800-$4.200
12%
$4.200-$4.600
21%
4.600–5.000 $
25%
$5.000-$5.400
18%
$5.400-$5.800
11%
$5.800–$6.200
6%
>6.200 $
4%
4.600–5.000 $ 25%
$4.200-$4.600 20.6%
$5.000-$5.400 17.7%
$3.800-$4.200 11.8%
$906,967 Vol.
$906,967 Vol.
<$3.800
4%
$3.800-$4.200
12%
$4.200-$4.600
21%
4.600–5.000 $
25%
$5.000-$5.400
18%
$5.400-$5.800
11%
$5.800–$6.200
6%
>6.200 $
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, reflecting current June futures trading near $4,725 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. Persistent central bank purchases and Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran blockade risks, support upside potential, counterbalanced by a firmer U.S. dollar and spiking 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% that have delayed Fed rate cut expectations into late 2026. Goldman Sachs' revised year-end target of $5,400 underscores ETF inflows and inflation persistence, but hawkish FOMC signals cap near-term gains. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC meeting, with volatility poised around real yield thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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