Recent declines in gold futures, with the June contract trading near $4,300 amid elevated oil prices and Middle East tensions involving Iran, have anchored trader sentiment around the $4,200-$4,600 band at 49.5% implied probability. Persistent inflation concerns have reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy, pressuring the metal lower after three consecutive monthly drops and reducing near-term safe-haven demand despite ongoing central bank purchases. Volatility from geopolitical developments and dollar strength continues to limit upside conviction, leaving the $3,800-$4,200 range as the next most favored outcome while the June expiration approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWorum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
Worum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
$4.200-$4.600 49.4%
$3.800-$4.200 32.4%
4.600–5.000 $ 11%
<$3.800 6.3%
$1,036,317 Vol.
$1,036,317 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<$3.800
6%
$3.800-$4.200
32%
$4.200-$4.600
49%
4.600–5.000 $
11%
$5.000-$5.400
1%
$5.400-$5.800
1%
$5.800–$6.200
1%
>6.200 $
1%
$4.200-$4.600 49.4%
$3.800-$4.200 32.4%
4.600–5.000 $ 11%
<$3.800 6.3%
$1,036,317 Vol.
$1,036,317 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<$3.800
$237,681 Vol.
6%
$3.800-$4.200
$66,853 Vol.
32%
$4.200-$4.600
$62,423 Vol.
49%
4.600–5.000 $
$59,122 Vol.
11%
$5.000-$5.400
$77,175 Vol.
1%
$5.400-$5.800
$66,614 Vol.
1%
$5.800–$6.200
$253,916 Vol.
1%
>6.200 $
$212,539 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent declines in gold futures, with the June contract trading near $4,300 amid elevated oil prices and Middle East tensions involving Iran, have anchored trader sentiment around the $4,200-$4,600 band at 49.5% implied probability. Persistent inflation concerns have reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy, pressuring the metal lower after three consecutive monthly drops and reducing near-term safe-haven demand despite ongoing central bank purchases. Volatility from geopolitical developments and dollar strength continues to limit upside conviction, leaving the $3,800-$4,200 range as the next most favored outcome while the June expiration approaches.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volumen
$1,036,317Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent declines in gold futures, with the June contract trading near $4,300 amid elevated oil prices and Middle East tensions involving Iran, have anchored trader sentiment around the $4,200-$4,600 band at 49.5% implied probability. Persistent inflation concerns have reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy, pressuring the metal lower after three consecutive monthly drops and reducing near-term safe-haven demand despite ongoing central bank purchases. Volatility from geopolitical developments and dollar strength continues to limit upside conviction, leaving the $3,800-$4,200 range as the next most favored outcome while the June expiration approaches.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$1,036,317Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent declines in gold futures, with the June contract trading near $4,300 amid elevated oil prices and Middle East tensions involving Iran, have anchored trader sentiment around the $4,200-$4,600 band at 49.5% implied probability. Persistent inflation concerns have reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy, pressuring the metal lower after three consecutive monthly drops and reducing near-term safe-haven demand despite ongoing central bank purchases. Volatility from geopolitical developments and dollar strength continues to limit upside conviction, leaving the $3,800-$4,200 range as the next most favored outcome while the June expiration approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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