Recent hotter-than-expected May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year, fueled by energy prices amid Iran-related tensions, has shifted market-implied odds toward a steadier or higher federal funds rate path. Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,200 per ounce, down sharply from the January peak above $5,500 and below the 200-day moving average. Persistent central bank buying provides structural support, yet elevated Treasury yields and a firmer dollar are weighing on near-term prices. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the key catalyst, with traders currently pricing limited rate cuts through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$118,775 Vol.
$8.000
<1%
7.000 $
<1%
6.500 $
1%
6.200 $
1%
$6.000
1%
$5.800
1%
5.600 $
1%
5.400 $
2%
5.200 $
2%
5.000 $
3%
4.800 $
5%
4.600 $
8%
$118,775 Vol.
$8.000
<1%
7.000 $
<1%
6.500 $
1%
6.200 $
1%
$6.000
1%
$5.800
1%
5.600 $
1%
5.400 $
2%
5.200 $
2%
5.000 $
3%
4.800 $
5%
4.600 $
8%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year, fueled by energy prices amid Iran-related tensions, has shifted market-implied odds toward a steadier or higher federal funds rate path. Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,200 per ounce, down sharply from the January peak above $5,500 and below the 200-day moving average. Persistent central bank buying provides structural support, yet elevated Treasury yields and a firmer dollar are weighing on near-term prices. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the key catalyst, with traders currently pricing limited rate cuts through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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