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icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitik·Hisbollah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitik·Hisbollah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

$341,551 Vol.

31. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$341,551 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$11,249 Vol.

6%

September 30

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces maintain a security zone in southern Lebanon under a fragile US-mediated June 2026 framework agreement calling for phased withdrawal alongside Lebanese army deployment and Hezbollah disarmament. Operations center on the contested Ali al-Taher ridge overlooking Nabatieh, with repeated airstrikes, artillery, and demolitions in nearby villages such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah, Mayfadoun, and Kfar Tibnit as of late August 2026, including retaliatory strikes after Hezbollah drone launches. Israeli troops have conducted limited crossings of buffer lines and sweeping operations in adjacent areas but have not launched a major ground advance into Nabatieh itself, amid ongoing diplomatic pressure and pilot-zone talks. Trader views reflect the balance between Israeli statements prioritizing threat removal before any pullback and the absence of full urban entry despite months of escalation around strategic high ground.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$341,551
Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces maintain a security zone in southern Lebanon under a fragile US-mediated June 2026 framework agreement calling for phased withdrawal alongside Lebanese army deployment and Hezbollah disarmament. Operations center on the contested Ali al-Taher ridge overlooking Nabatieh, with repeated airstrikes, artillery, and demolitions in nearby villages such as Zawtar al-Sharqiyah, Mayfadoun, and Kfar Tibnit as of late August 2026, including retaliatory strikes after Hezbollah drone launches. Israeli troops have conducted limited crossings of buffer lines and sweeping operations in adjacent areas but have not launched a major ground advance into Nabatieh itself, amid ongoing diplomatic pressure and pilot-zone talks. Trader views reflect the balance between Israeli statements prioritizing threat removal before any pullback and the absence of full urban entry despite months of escalation around strategic high ground.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$341,551
Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Verwandte

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „September 30" mit 50%, gefolgt von „August 31" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $341.6K generiert, seit der Markt am May 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" ist „September 30" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „August 31" mit 6%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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