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icon for Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?
Geopolitik·Mittlerer Osten

Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?

icon for Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?
Geopolitik·Mittlerer Osten

Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?

$102,457 Vol.

31. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$102,457 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$20,144 Vol.

<1%

30. September

$1,518 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon since March 2026 have featured repeated airstrikes, artillery fire, and targeted demolitions in the Tyre district alongside broader ground presence south of a self-declared buffer zone, yet no confirmed entry into the city itself. Ceasefire frameworks reached in April and June have repeatedly frayed amid Hezbollah rocket fire and alleged violations, prompting fresh Israeli evacuation orders for Tyre residents and strikes on nearby villages such as al-Mansouri. Israeli forces maintain positions in adjacent areas like Majdal Zoun to control approaches to the Tyre Valley while focusing deeper ground efforts near ridges such as Ali al-Taher. Ongoing U.S.-mediated diplomacy and Lebanese army deployment requirements remain central variables, with any expansion of ground maneuvers hinging on escalation thresholds and Hezbollah activity levels through the fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$102,457
Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon since March 2026 have featured repeated airstrikes, artillery fire, and targeted demolitions in the Tyre district alongside broader ground presence south of a self-declared buffer zone, yet no confirmed entry into the city itself. Ceasefire frameworks reached in April and June have repeatedly frayed amid Hezbollah rocket fire and alleged violations, prompting fresh Israeli evacuation orders for Tyre residents and strikes on nearby villages such as al-Mansouri. Israeli forces maintain positions in adjacent areas like Majdal Zoun to control approaches to the Tyre Valley while focusing deeper ground efforts near ridges such as Ali al-Taher. Ongoing U.S.-mediated diplomacy and Lebanese army deployment requirements remain central variables, with any expansion of ground maneuvers hinging on escalation thresholds and Hezbollah activity levels through the fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$102,457
Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Verwandte

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Israels Streitkräfte rücken bis zum 30. September in Beirut ein?

2%
Ja
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Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?

18%
icon for Israel zieht sich bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 aus dem Libanon zurück?

Israel zieht sich bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 aus dem Libanon zurück?

7%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „30. September" mit 41%, gefolgt von „August 31" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 41¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $102.5K generiert, seit der Markt am May 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?" ist „30. September" mit 41%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „August 31" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Israelische Streitkräfte dringen in Reifen ein durch...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.