Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account maintains low posting volume as its baseline pattern, with activity often limited to archival statements or event-driven clusters rather than daily updates. Similar resolution windows in 2026 have shown the <5 bracket leading due to the absence of immediate catalysts such as major religious observances, diplomatic summits, or escalations requiring official commentary. The account continues to reference historical themes tied to resistance and Islamic events, while the transition to successor leadership has not materially increased output frequency on this channel. Traders price the 5-9 range as the next most plausible outcome only if routine regional developments prompt additional releases during the period. No scheduled votes, summits, or confirmed flashpoints fall within August 11-18, supporting the current consensus around minimal activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts 11. August - 18. August 2026?
Khamenei # posts 11. August - 18. August 2026?
<5 57%
5-9 24%
10-14 11%
15-19 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
<5
57%
5-9
24%
10-14
11%
15-19
10%
20-24
8%
25-29
4%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 57%
5-9 24%
10-14 11%
15-19 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
<5
$507 Vol.
57%
5-9
$4 Vol.
24%
10-14
$0 Vol.
11%
15-19
$0 Vol.
10%
20-24
$11 Vol.
8%
25-29
$70 Vol.
4%
30-34
$12 Vol.
1%
35-39
$32 Vol.
1%
40-44
$32 Vol.
1%
45-49
$47 Vol.
1%
50-54
$12 Vol.
1%
55-59
$17 Vol.
1%
60+
$140 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account maintains low posting volume as its baseline pattern, with activity often limited to archival statements or event-driven clusters rather than daily updates. Similar resolution windows in 2026 have shown the <5 bracket leading due to the absence of immediate catalysts such as major religious observances, diplomatic summits, or escalations requiring official commentary. The account continues to reference historical themes tied to resistance and Islamic events, while the transition to successor leadership has not materially increased output frequency on this channel. Traders price the 5-9 range as the next most plausible outcome only if routine regional developments prompt additional releases during the period. No scheduled votes, summits, or confirmed flashpoints fall within August 11-18, supporting the current consensus around minimal activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$883Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account maintains low posting volume as its baseline pattern, with activity often limited to archival statements or event-driven clusters rather than daily updates. Similar resolution windows in 2026 have shown the <5 bracket leading due to the absence of immediate catalysts such as major religious observances, diplomatic summits, or escalations requiring official commentary. The account continues to reference historical themes tied to resistance and Islamic events, while the transition to successor leadership has not materially increased output frequency on this channel. Traders price the 5-9 range as the next most plausible outcome only if routine regional developments prompt additional releases during the period. No scheduled votes, summits, or confirmed flashpoints fall within August 11-18, supporting the current consensus around minimal activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$883Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account maintains low posting volume as its baseline pattern, with activity often limited to archival statements or event-driven clusters rather than daily updates. Similar resolution windows in 2026 have shown the <5 bracket leading due to the absence of immediate catalysts such as major religious observances, diplomatic summits, or escalations requiring official commentary. The account continues to reference historical themes tied to resistance and Islamic events, while the transition to successor leadership has not materially increased output frequency on this channel. Traders price the 5-9 range as the next most plausible outcome only if routine regional developments prompt additional releases during the period. No scheduled votes, summits, or confirmed flashpoints fall within August 11-18, supporting the current consensus around minimal activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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