Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 24, consistent with late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome between the market's closely matched extremes of 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over cloud cover persistence and any late-day rain that could suppress or elevate the low. Historical September 24 minima average 23.4°C with records as low as 17.8°C, but current atmospheric stability favors milder values near the 25–27°C cluster. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on steering patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 24. September?
20°C oder darunter 98%
30°C oder höher 96%
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
20°C oder darunter
98%
21°C
13%
22°C
17%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
40%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C oder höher
96%
20°C oder darunter 98%
30°C oder höher 96%
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
20°C oder darunter
98%
21°C
13%
22°C
17%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
40%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C oder höher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 24, consistent with late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome between the market's closely matched extremes of 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over cloud cover persistence and any late-day rain that could suppress or elevate the low. Historical September 24 minima average 23.4°C with records as low as 17.8°C, but current atmospheric stability favors milder values near the 25–27°C cluster. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on steering patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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