Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 6. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 6. Mai?
8°C 100.0%
3°C oder darunter <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$28,967 Vol.
$28,967 Vol.
6. Mai 2026
3°C oder darunter
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Ja
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C oder höher
Nein
8°C 100.0%
3°C oder darunter <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$28,967 Vol.
$28,967 Vol.
6. Mai 2026
3°C oder darunter
$4,168 Vol.
Nein
4°C
$3,995 Vol.
Nein
5°C
$911 Vol.
Nein
6°C
$2,667 Vol.
Nein
7°C
$3,334 Vol.
Nein
8°C
$4,272 Vol.
Ja
9°C
$1,052 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$1,598 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$3,136 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$1,697 Vol.
Nein
13°C oder höher
$2,136 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$28,967Enddatum
6. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,967Enddatum
6. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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