Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 29. Juli?
27°C 35%
28°C 33%
29°C 13%
26°C 10%
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
35%
28°C
33%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 35%
28°C 33%
29°C 13%
26°C 10%
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
35%
28°C
33%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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