Trader sentiment for Miami's July 18 low temperature centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling within a persistent warm, humid subtropical maritime air mass, where National Weather Service guidance and AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical overnight lows near 78–82 °F. High dew points and light southeast winds limit heat loss, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can trap longwave radiation and elevate minima or allow clearer intervals for modest cooling. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 78–81 °F bins with meaningful support for adjacent ranges. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of overnight measurement at Miami International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 18. Juli?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F oder darunter <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,401 Vol.
$16,401 Vol.
71°F oder darunter
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Ja
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90°F oder höher
Nein
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F oder darunter <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,401 Vol.
$16,401 Vol.
71°F oder darunter
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Ja
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader sentiment for Miami's July 18 low temperature centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling within a persistent warm, humid subtropical maritime air mass, where National Weather Service guidance and AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical overnight lows near 78–82 °F. High dew points and light southeast winds limit heat loss, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can trap longwave radiation and elevate minima or allow clearer intervals for modest cooling. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 78–81 °F bins with meaningful support for adjacent ranges. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of overnight measurement at Miami International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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