The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 6. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 6. Mai?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F oder niedriger <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 Vol.
$87,308 Vol.
6. Mai 2026
51°F oder niedriger
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Ja
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70°F oder höher
Nein
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F oder niedriger <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 Vol.
$87,308 Vol.
6. Mai 2026
51°F oder niedriger
$9,321 Vol.
Nein
52-53°F
$5,209 Vol.
Nein
54-55°F
$6,211 Vol.
Nein
56-57°F
$19,669 Vol.
Ja
58-59°F
$32,184 Vol.
Nein
60-61°F
$2,015 Vol.
Nein
62-63°F
$1,172 Vol.
Nein
64-65°F
$3,042 Vol.
Nein
66-67°F
$2,730 Vol.
Nein
68-69°F
$2,452 Vol.
Nein
70°F oder höher
$3,304 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$87,308Enddatum
6. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$87,308Enddatum
6. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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