Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 29. Juni?
17°C 100.0%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,031 Vol.
$50,031 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
17°C 100.0%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,031 Vol.
$50,031 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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