Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 25. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 25. Juni?
20°C 100.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25. Juni 2026
15°C oder darunter
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Ja
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
20°C 100.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25. Juni 2026
15°C oder darunter
$705 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$675 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$937 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$2,255 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$3,440 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$7,594 Vol.
Ja
21°C
$2,015 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$2,029 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$1,269 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$370 Vol.
Nein
25°C oder höher
$337 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$21,625Enddatum
25. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,625Enddatum
25. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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