Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 3. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 3. Mai?
11°C 100.0%
7°C oder niedriger <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$23,542 Vol.
$23,542 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
7°C oder niedriger
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Ja
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C oder höher
Nein
11°C 100.0%
7°C oder niedriger <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$23,542 Vol.
$23,542 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
7°C oder niedriger
$993 Vol.
Nein
8°C
$627 Vol.
Nein
9°C
$2,940 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$2,298 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$3,534 Vol.
Ja
12°C
$3,912 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$4,182 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$2,056 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$484 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$1,137 Vol.
Nein
17°C oder höher
$1,380 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$23,542Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,542Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 3 reached 11°C during the standard morning low window between 3 and 9 a.m., driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as daytime temperatures rose under clear skies and light southwest winds to highs around 15°C. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting further cooling, consistent with early May climatology where lows average 10–13°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges include anomalous overnight radiative cooling from prolonged clear skies, though KMA evening updates indicate minimal risk, with final daily observations expected by midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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