Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 Vol.
$22,874 Vol.
27. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C oder höher
Nein
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 Vol.
$22,874 Vol.
27. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
$2,153 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,858 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$1,433 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$1,870 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$5,542 Vol.
Ja
15°C
$987 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$3,091 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$1,145 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$967 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$537 Vol.
Nein
20°C oder höher
$3,291 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$22,874Enddatum
27. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,874Enddatum
27. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen