Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 13°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, anchored by official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport recording a morning minimum of 13°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with high-resolution forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models, which converged on radiative cooling to this level under high-pressure subsidence suppressing typical early-May lows around 16°C. Daytime highs reached 23°C with rising temperatures, solidifying the daily minimum. Realistic challenges include rare late-night cloud clearance enhancing cooling to 12°C or data revisions from station audits, though urban heat island effects and model agreement make shifts improbable ahead of final CMA confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 9. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 9. Mai?
13°C 100.0%
11°C oder darunter <1%
12°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,492 Vol.
$44,492 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
11°C oder darunter
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18 °C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C oder höher
Nein
13°C 100.0%
11°C oder darunter <1%
12°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,492 Vol.
$44,492 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
11°C oder darunter
$3,346 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$2,386 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$7,834 Vol.
Ja
14°C
$2,360 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$8,787 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$2,239 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$1,364 Vol.
Nein
18 °C
$3,430 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$4,106 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$3,383 Vol.
Nein
21°C oder höher
$5,256 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 13°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, anchored by official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport recording a morning minimum of 13°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with high-resolution forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models, which converged on radiative cooling to this level under high-pressure subsidence suppressing typical early-May lows around 16°C. Daytime highs reached 23°C with rising temperatures, solidifying the daily minimum. Realistic challenges include rare late-night cloud clearance enhancing cooling to 12°C or data revisions from station audits, though urban heat island effects and model agreement make shifts improbable ahead of final CMA confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$44,492Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 13°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, anchored by official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport recording a morning minimum of 13°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with high-resolution forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models, which converged on radiative cooling to this level under high-pressure subsidence suppressing typical early-May lows around 16°C. Daytime highs reached 23°C with rising temperatures, solidifying the daily minimum. Realistic challenges include rare late-night cloud clearance enhancing cooling to 12°C or data revisions from station audits, though urban heat island effects and model agreement make shifts improbable ahead of final CMA confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,492Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 13°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, anchored by official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport recording a morning minimum of 13°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with high-resolution forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models, which converged on radiative cooling to this level under high-pressure subsidence suppressing typical early-May lows around 16°C. Daytime highs reached 23°C with rising temperatures, solidifying the daily minimum. Realistic challenges include rare late-night cloud clearance enhancing cooling to 12°C or data revisions from station audits, though urban heat island effects and model agreement make shifts improbable ahead of final CMA confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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