Meta’s Mango model, an internal codename for a next-generation multimodal system focused on image and video generation, remains on a first-half 2026 internal target set after December 2025 reporting from the Wall Street Journal and others. Development runs alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model, whose pre-training completion and performance shortfalls against Gemini 3.0 prompted a March 2026 delay into May. No official announcements, benchmarks, or releases for Mango have occurred as of mid-June, leaving trader sentiment anchored to Meta’s history of open-weight Llama releases, Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang’s emphasis on coding and “world models,” and competition from Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic multimodal offerings. Key near-term catalysts include any earnings commentary, developer conference reveals, or regulatory shifts affecting frontier AI deployment timelines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$26,586 Vol.
30. Juni
11%
$26,586 Vol.
30. Juni
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Mango model, an internal codename for a next-generation multimodal system focused on image and video generation, remains on a first-half 2026 internal target set after December 2025 reporting from the Wall Street Journal and others. Development runs alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model, whose pre-training completion and performance shortfalls against Gemini 3.0 prompted a March 2026 delay into May. No official announcements, benchmarks, or releases for Mango have occurred as of mid-June, leaving trader sentiment anchored to Meta’s history of open-weight Llama releases, Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang’s emphasis on coding and “world models,” and competition from Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic multimodal offerings. Key near-term catalysts include any earnings commentary, developer conference reveals, or regulatory shifts affecting frontier AI deployment timelines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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