State Sen. Eric Pratt leads trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win the MN-02 Republican primary on August 11, 2026, following Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal announcement earlier this week due to a military deployment as a Marine Corps Reserve officer. Kistner, the 2020 and 2022 GOP nominee who lost narrowly to Rep. Angie Craig (D), retains 10.5% as traders price in slim odds of reversal or late entry by challengers amid Minnesota's precinct caucus and convention endorsement process. Pratt's momentum builds on recent endorsements like former Rep. Erik Paulsen's on April 6, strong local straw poll performances such as 65% in Senate District 57, and his incumbency as a four-term legislator from Prior Lake in the district's core Scott County. No other major candidates have emerged, underscoring Pratt's path to nomination in this open-seat battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$14,247 Vol.
$14,247 Vol.
Eric Pratt
85%
Tyler Kistner
11%
$14,247 Vol.
$14,247 Vol.
Eric Pratt
85%
Tyler Kistner
11%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Eric Pratt leads trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win the MN-02 Republican primary on August 11, 2026, following Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal announcement earlier this week due to a military deployment as a Marine Corps Reserve officer. Kistner, the 2020 and 2022 GOP nominee who lost narrowly to Rep. Angie Craig (D), retains 10.5% as traders price in slim odds of reversal or late entry by challengers amid Minnesota's precinct caucus and convention endorsement process. Pratt's momentum builds on recent endorsements like former Rep. Erik Paulsen's on April 6, strong local straw poll performances such as 65% in Senate District 57, and his incumbency as a four-term legislator from Prior Lake in the district's core Scott County. No other major candidates have emerged, underscoring Pratt's path to nomination in this open-seat battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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