Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals per April 21 filings—and a March poll lead of 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23% among likely voters, with 25% undecided. Blouin's support at 22% reflects backlash from mid-April revelations of his past online posts mocking the LDS faith and joking about sexual assault, prompting an apology and state Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout to endorse McAdams as a "statesman." Recent Earth Day debate and April 25 state convention sharpened the contest between McAdams' pragmatism and Blouin's progressivism in the court-redrawn blue-leaning district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBen McAdams 76%
Nate Blouin 22%
Brian King <1%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$25,961 Vol.
$25,961 Vol.
Ben McAdams
76%
Nate Blouin
22%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
1%
Luz Escamilla
1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Ben McAdams 76%
Nate Blouin 22%
Brian King <1%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$25,961 Vol.
$25,961 Vol.
Ben McAdams
76%
Nate Blouin
22%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
1%
Luz Escamilla
1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals per April 21 filings—and a March poll lead of 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23% among likely voters, with 25% undecided. Blouin's support at 22% reflects backlash from mid-April revelations of his past online posts mocking the LDS faith and joking about sexual assault, prompting an apology and state Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout to endorse McAdams as a "statesman." Recent Earth Day debate and April 25 state convention sharpened the contest between McAdams' pragmatism and Blouin's progressivism in the court-redrawn blue-leaning district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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