Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race as the sitting governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling shows Ferraço leading potential rivals such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by modest margins in simulated first- and second-round scenarios, supported by high approval ratings near 77 percent. Traders price Ferraço at 62.5 percent implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage, established party backing, and early momentum ahead of the October 2026 vote. Other listed candidates remain at or below 50 percent, indicating limited current traction in surveys or campaign developments, while lower-priced names face structural barriers in name recognition and organization. The race remains subject to standard shifts from polling movement, alliances, or late-cycle events within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Espírito Santo
Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Espírito Santo
Ricardo Ferraço 63%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.0%
Sergio Vidigal 2.9%
$12,982 Vol.
$12,982 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
63%
Lorenzo Pazolini
34%
Arnaldinho Borgo
4%
Sergio Vidigal
3%
Euclério Sampaio
1%
Ricardo Ferraço 63%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.0%
Sergio Vidigal 2.9%
$12,982 Vol.
$12,982 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$7,049 Vol.
63%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$3,440 Vol.
34%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$1,638 Vol.
4%
Sergio Vidigal
$396 Vol.
3%
Euclério Sampaio
$460 Vol.
1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race as the sitting governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling shows Ferraço leading potential rivals such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by modest margins in simulated first- and second-round scenarios, supported by high approval ratings near 77 percent. Traders price Ferraço at 62.5 percent implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage, established party backing, and early momentum ahead of the October 2026 vote. Other listed candidates remain at or below 50 percent, indicating limited current traction in surveys or campaign developments, while lower-priced names face structural barriers in name recognition and organization. The race remains subject to standard shifts from polling movement, alliances, or late-cycle events within the resolution window.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volumen
$12,982Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race as the sitting governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling shows Ferraço leading potential rivals such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by modest margins in simulated first- and second-round scenarios, supported by high approval ratings near 77 percent. Traders price Ferraço at 62.5 percent implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage, established party backing, and early momentum ahead of the October 2026 vote. Other listed candidates remain at or below 50 percent, indicating limited current traction in surveys or campaign developments, while lower-priced names face structural barriers in name recognition and organization. The race remains subject to standard shifts from polling movement, alliances, or late-cycle events within the resolution window.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$12,982Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race as the sitting governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling shows Ferraço leading potential rivals such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by modest margins in simulated first- and second-round scenarios, supported by high approval ratings near 77 percent. Traders price Ferraço at 62.5 percent implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage, established party backing, and early momentum ahead of the October 2026 vote. Other listed candidates remain at or below 50 percent, indicating limited current traction in surveys or campaign developments, while lower-priced names face structural barriers in name recognition and organization. The race remains subject to standard shifts from polling movement, alliances, or late-cycle events within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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