Incumbent José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position ahead of the November 15, 2026, first-round vote, buoyed by his party's May legislative victory that expanded its National Assembly majority and reinforced organizational momentum. This outcome contrasts with the MpD's reduced seat total, leaving opposition contenders such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa with narrower paths in a contest that allows a potential November 29 runoff. Neves' prior first-round win in 2021 and the hybrid system's emphasis on broad consensus further align with trader pricing that places him well ahead of lower-probability names including Milton Paiva and Joana Rosa. With roughly three months remaining, legislative results and party mobilization remain the primary near-term drivers of implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJosé Maria Neves 68%
Milton Paiva 9%
Janine Lélis 7%
Casimiro de Pina 6%
NEU
NEU
15. Nov. 2026
José Maria Neves
68%
Milton Paiva
9%
Janine Lélis
7%
Casimiro de Pina
6%
Péricles Tavares
6%
Fernando Delgado
6%
Joana Rosa
7%
José Maria Neves 68%
Milton Paiva 9%
Janine Lélis 7%
Casimiro de Pina 6%
NEU
NEU
15. Nov. 2026
José Maria Neves
$1,332 Vol.
68%
Milton Paiva
$295 Vol.
9%
Janine Lélis
$249 Vol.
7%
Casimiro de Pina
$258 Vol.
6%
Péricles Tavares
$287 Vol.
6%
Fernando Delgado
$258 Vol.
6%
Joana Rosa
$294 Vol.
7%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position ahead of the November 15, 2026, first-round vote, buoyed by his party's May legislative victory that expanded its National Assembly majority and reinforced organizational momentum. This outcome contrasts with the MpD's reduced seat total, leaving opposition contenders such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa with narrower paths in a contest that allows a potential November 29 runoff. Neves' prior first-round win in 2021 and the hybrid system's emphasis on broad consensus further align with trader pricing that places him well ahead of lower-probability names including Milton Paiva and Joana Rosa. With roughly three months remaining, legislative results and party mobilization remain the primary near-term drivers of implied probabilities.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
Volumen
$2,973Enddatum
15. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position ahead of the November 15, 2026, first-round vote, buoyed by his party's May legislative victory that expanded its National Assembly majority and reinforced organizational momentum. This outcome contrasts with the MpD's reduced seat total, leaving opposition contenders such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa with narrower paths in a contest that allows a potential November 29 runoff. Neves' prior first-round win in 2021 and the hybrid system's emphasis on broad consensus further align with trader pricing that places him well ahead of lower-probability names including Milton Paiva and Joana Rosa. With roughly three months remaining, legislative results and party mobilization remain the primary near-term drivers of implied probabilities.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volumen
$2,973Enddatum
15. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position ahead of the November 15, 2026, first-round vote, buoyed by his party's May legislative victory that expanded its National Assembly majority and reinforced organizational momentum. This outcome contrasts with the MpD's reduced seat total, leaving opposition contenders such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa with narrower paths in a contest that allows a potential November 29 runoff. Neves' prior first-round win in 2021 and the hybrid system's emphasis on broad consensus further align with trader pricing that places him well ahead of lower-probability names including Milton Paiva and Joana Rosa. With roughly three months remaining, legislative results and party mobilization remain the primary near-term drivers of implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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