Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as leader of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government remains secure, with a Lok Sabha majority holding until the next general election in 2029, driving trader consensus to 90% against his departure by year-end. Recent parliamentary defeat of a constitutional amendment on April 17 highlighted opposition strength but failed to trigger a no-confidence vote or snap election calls. Ongoing 2026 state assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Kerala test BJP performance amid delimitation debates, yet central stability persists absent health issues, scandals, or coalition fractures. Upcoming poll results could influence sentiment, but historical patterns favor incumbents absent major disruptions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Modi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Ja
$24,861 Vol.
$24,861 Vol.
Ja
$24,861 Vol.
$24,861 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as leader of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government remains secure, with a Lok Sabha majority holding until the next general election in 2029, driving trader consensus to 90% against his departure by year-end. Recent parliamentary defeat of a constitutional amendment on April 17 highlighted opposition strength but failed to trigger a no-confidence vote or snap election calls. Ongoing 2026 state assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Kerala test BJP performance amid delimitation debates, yet central stability persists absent health issues, scandals, or coalition fractures. Upcoming poll results could influence sentiment, but historical patterns favor incumbents absent major disruptions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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