Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister runs until June 2029 under India’s parliamentary system, with the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no constitutional mechanism for early removal absent loss of Lok Sabha majority. The NDA coalition maintains a working majority following the 2024 results, and recent India Today-CVoter surveys project continued dominance despite a modest dip in Modi’s personal ratings. Summer 2026 youth protests over exam irregularities prompted the education minister’s resignation but did not trigger broader instability or coalition fractures. No verified health concerns, successful no-confidence motions, or party leadership challenges have emerged in the past several months. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to an exit by year-end, reflecting the structural barriers and absence of acute political catalysts in the short resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Modi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Ja
6% Chance
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
6% Chance
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister runs until June 2029 under India’s parliamentary system, with the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no constitutional mechanism for early removal absent loss of Lok Sabha majority. The NDA coalition maintains a working majority following the 2024 results, and recent India Today-CVoter surveys project continued dominance despite a modest dip in Modi’s personal ratings. Summer 2026 youth protests over exam irregularities prompted the education minister’s resignation but did not trigger broader instability or coalition fractures. No verified health concerns, successful no-confidence motions, or party leadership challenges have emerged in the past several months. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to an exit by year-end, reflecting the structural barriers and absence of acute political catalysts in the short resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$251,083Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister runs until June 2029 under India’s parliamentary system, with the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no constitutional mechanism for early removal absent loss of Lok Sabha majority. The NDA coalition maintains a working majority following the 2024 results, and recent India Today-CVoter surveys project continued dominance despite a modest dip in Modi’s personal ratings. Summer 2026 youth protests over exam irregularities prompted the education minister’s resignation but did not trigger broader instability or coalition fractures. No verified health concerns, successful no-confidence motions, or party leadership challenges have emerged in the past several months. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to an exit by year-end, reflecting the structural barriers and absence of acute political catalysts in the short resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$251,083Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister runs until June 2029 under India’s parliamentary system, with the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no constitutional mechanism for early removal absent loss of Lok Sabha majority. The NDA coalition maintains a working majority following the 2024 results, and recent India Today-CVoter surveys project continued dominance despite a modest dip in Modi’s personal ratings. Summer 2026 youth protests over exam irregularities prompted the education minister’s resignation but did not trigger broader instability or coalition fractures. No verified health concerns, successful no-confidence motions, or party leadership challenges have emerged in the past several months. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to an exit by year-end, reflecting the structural barriers and absence of acute political catalysts in the short resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen