Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Modi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Ja
$24,900 Vol.
$24,900 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$24,900 Vol.
$24,900 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$24,900Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,905Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen