Google’s May 19 I/O 2026 announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach developers “next month” after the lighter Gemini 3.5 Flash launch remains the dominant catalyst, spreading market-implied odds across mid-to-late June dates with the tightest clustering around June 23 and 26. Traders appear to weigh Google’s history of phased rollouts—initial access for AI Ultra subscribers followed by broader API and Vertex availability—against the absence of a firm calendar or regulatory hurdles. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o3 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 series, plus internal benchmarks showing strong agentic gains, supports expectations of a June delivery, yet typical post-conference refinement cycles and the lack of a precise target keep probabilities closely contested rather than consolidated on any single day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert16. Juni 34%
17. Juni 34%
26. Juni 34%
12. Juni 34%
26. Juni
34%
13. Juni
30%
23. Juni
31%
24. Juni
33%
Am oder vor dem 2. Juni
24%
8. Juni
32%
10. Juni
33%
20. Juni
30%
3. Juni
1%
4. Juni
22%
5. Juni
29%
6. Juni
25%
15. Juni
15%
21. Juni
32%
25. Juni
31%
7. Juni
17%
9. Juni
32%
11. Juni
31%
12. Juni
34%
14. Juni
28%
16. Juni
34%
17. Juni
34%
18. Juni
30%
19. Juni
32%
30. Juni
32%
22. Juni
31%
27. Juni
28%
28. Juni
3%
29. Juni
31%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. Juni
14%
16. Juni 34%
17. Juni 34%
26. Juni 34%
12. Juni 34%
26. Juni
34%
13. Juni
30%
23. Juni
31%
24. Juni
33%
Am oder vor dem 2. Juni
24%
8. Juni
32%
10. Juni
33%
20. Juni
30%
3. Juni
1%
4. Juni
22%
5. Juni
29%
6. Juni
25%
15. Juni
15%
21. Juni
32%
25. Juni
31%
7. Juni
17%
9. Juni
32%
11. Juni
31%
12. Juni
34%
14. Juni
28%
16. Juni
34%
17. Juni
34%
18. Juni
30%
19. Juni
32%
30. Juni
32%
22. Juni
31%
27. Juni
28%
28. Juni
3%
29. Juni
31%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. Juni
14%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 19 I/O 2026 announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach developers “next month” after the lighter Gemini 3.5 Flash launch remains the dominant catalyst, spreading market-implied odds across mid-to-late June dates with the tightest clustering around June 23 and 26. Traders appear to weigh Google’s history of phased rollouts—initial access for AI Ultra subscribers followed by broader API and Vertex availability—against the absence of a firm calendar or regulatory hurdles. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o3 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 series, plus internal benchmarks showing strong agentic gains, supports expectations of a June delivery, yet typical post-conference refinement cycles and the lack of a precise target keep probabilities closely contested rather than consolidated on any single day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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