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Politik·Südafrika

Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?

icon for Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?
Politik·Südafrika

Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?

Geordin Hill-Lewis 90%

Nontando Nolutshungu 5%

Khalid Sayed 4%

Cheslyn Steenberg 2.7%

Polymarket
NEU

Geordin Hill-Lewis 90%

Nontando Nolutshungu 5%

Khalid Sayed 4%

Cheslyn Steenberg 2.7%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Geordin Hill-Lewis

Geordin Hill-Lewis

$3,025 Vol.

90%

icon for Nontando Nolutshungu

Nontando Nolutshungu

$155 Vol.

5%

icon for Khalid Sayed

Khalid Sayed

$159 Vol.

4%

icon for Cheslyn Steenberg

Cheslyn Steenberg

$110 Vol.

3%

icon for Dereleen James

Dereleen James

$124 Vol.

2%

icon for Roger Solomons

Roger Solomons

$124 Vol.

2%

icon for Brett Herron

Brett Herron

$109 Vol.

1%

icon for Ellen Pakkies

Ellen Pakkies

$125 Vol.

1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor of Cape Town since 2021 and the party's newly elected federal leader since April 2026, holds a dominant position as the DA's official mayoral candidate for the November 2026 municipal elections. The DA's longstanding governance record in the city, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 campaign pledges on safety, cleanliness, and affordability, underpins trader consensus reflected in his 89.5% implied probability. Opposition candidates from parties including the EFF, Patriotic Alliance, ActionSA, GOOD, and others trail significantly, with limited recent polling or coalition shifts altering their lower odds. Upcoming local elections and any late coalition negotiations remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,932
Enddatum
18. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor of Cape Town since 2021 and the party's newly elected federal leader since April 2026, holds a dominant position as the DA's official mayoral candidate for the November 2026 municipal elections. The DA's longstanding governance record in the city, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 campaign pledges on safety, cleanliness, and affordability, underpins trader consensus reflected in his 89.5% implied probability. Opposition candidates from parties including the EFF, Patriotic Alliance, ActionSA, GOOD, and others trail significantly, with limited recent polling or coalition shifts altering their lower odds. Upcoming local elections and any late coalition negotiations remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,932
Enddatum
18. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Geordin Hill-Lewis" mit 90%, gefolgt von „Nontando Nolutshungu" mit 5%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 90¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist „Geordin Hill-Lewis" mit 90%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nontando Nolutshungu" mit 5%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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