Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid's next manager amid his ongoing interim tenure since replacing sacked predecessor Xabi Alonso in January, bolstered by occasional Castilla-to-senior promotions in club history. However, surging odds for Julian Nagelsmann (38.5%) and Didier Deschamps (38%) stem from exclusive reports over the past week claiming Arbeloa has been informed he's out next season post-trophyless campaign, with both national team coaches topping Florentino Pérez's shortlist. Unai Emery's 37.5% reflects his stellar Aston Villa form and Spanish roots, while recent Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich—capped by Arbeloa's resigned post-match comments—has eroded his position, tightening the competitive race for the Bernabéu hot seat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUnai Emery 37%
Enzo Maresca 23%
Robert De Zerbi 15.4%
Jürgen Klopp 14%
$23,987 Vol.
$23,987 Vol.
Unai Emery
37%
Enzo Maresca
23%
Robert De Zerbi
15%
Jürgen Klopp
14%
Andoni Iraola
13%
Jose Mourinho
13%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Mikel Arteta
15%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Oliver Glasner
12%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Luis Enrique
23%
Didier Deschamps
-
Julian Nagelsmann
-
Unai Emery 37%
Enzo Maresca 23%
Robert De Zerbi 15.4%
Jürgen Klopp 14%
$23,987 Vol.
$23,987 Vol.
Unai Emery
37%
Enzo Maresca
23%
Robert De Zerbi
15%
Jürgen Klopp
14%
Andoni Iraola
13%
Jose Mourinho
13%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Mikel Arteta
15%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Oliver Glasner
12%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Luis Enrique
23%
Didier Deschamps
-
Julian Nagelsmann
-
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid's next manager amid his ongoing interim tenure since replacing sacked predecessor Xabi Alonso in January, bolstered by occasional Castilla-to-senior promotions in club history. However, surging odds for Julian Nagelsmann (38.5%) and Didier Deschamps (38%) stem from exclusive reports over the past week claiming Arbeloa has been informed he's out next season post-trophyless campaign, with both national team coaches topping Florentino Pérez's shortlist. Unai Emery's 37.5% reflects his stellar Aston Villa form and Spanish roots, while recent Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich—capped by Arbeloa's resigned post-match comments—has eroded his position, tightening the competitive race for the Bernabéu hot seat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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