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Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

Market icon

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

>5,000 99.6%

4,000-4,500 1.1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 Vol.

>5,000 99.6%

4,000-4,500 1.1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 Vol.

<2,000

$397 Vol.

<1%

2,000-2,500

$612 Vol.

<1%

2,500-3,000

$343 Vol.

<1%

3,000-3,500

$245 Vol.

<1%

3,500-4,000

$592 Vol.

<1%

4,000-4,500

$343 Vol.

1%

4,500-5,000

$175 Vol.

1%

>5,000

$408 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary data logging 5,952 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1 has locked in trader consensus at 99.6% for over 5,000 delays, driven by FAA warnings of low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting major hubs like Boston (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports, Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas facilities, plus wind in Las Vegas (LAS). FAA arrival restrictions at San Francisco (SFO)—cutting capacity up to 33% for runway repaving and safety—along with forecasted ground delays at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), LaGuardia (LGA), Reagan National (DCA), and others exacerbated nationwide backups. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically confirming 15+ minute delays, could trim the count marginally via revised criteria or exclusions, but a plunge below 5,000 remains a remote outlier scenario.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$3,113
Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary data logging 5,952 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1 has locked in trader consensus at 99.6% for over 5,000 delays, driven by FAA warnings of low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting major hubs like Boston (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports, Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas facilities, plus wind in Las Vegas (LAS). FAA arrival restrictions at San Francisco (SFO)—cutting capacity up to 33% for runway repaving and safety—along with forecasted ground delays at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), LaGuardia (LGA), Reagan National (DCA), and others exacerbated nationwide backups. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically confirming 15+ minute delays, could trim the count marginally via revised criteria or exclusions, but a plunge below 5,000 remains a remote outlier scenario.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$3,113
Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „>5,000" mit 100%, gefolgt von „4,000-4,500" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" ist „>5,000" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „4,000-4,500" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.