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Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

Market icon

Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

5,500-6,000 50%

6,500-7,000 45%

6,000-6,500 40%

7,000-7,500 16%

Polymarket

$1,231 Vol.

5,500-6,000 50%

6,500-7,000 45%

6,000-6,500 40%

7,000-7,500 16%

Polymarket

$1,231 Vol.

<5,000

$542 Vol.

10%

5,000-5,500

$369 Vol.

5%

5,500-6,000

$100 Vol.

50%

6,000-6,500

$100 Vol.

25%

6,500-7,000

$0 Vol.

45%

7,000-7,500

$0 Vol.

16%

7,500-8,000

$38 Vol.

10%

>8,000

$82 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$1,231
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$1,231
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „5,500-6,000" mit 50%, gefolgt von „6,500-7,000" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 30, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?" ist „5,500-6,000" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „6,500-7,000" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.