Trader consensus heavily favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 76% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her recent surge in progressive endorsements—including Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2 and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani—alongside strong grassroots fundraising, raising $750,000 from over 11,200 small donors in her launch period and outraising rivals per April 17 reports. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds second at 21% on backing from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez and the Queens County Democratic Party's quiet endorsement revealed April 6. No public polls exist yet, leaving odds shaped by these early catalysts ahead of today's Ridgewood forum and the two-month sprint, in a progressive district spanning Brooklyn and Queens where turnout among DSA and union voters could prove decisive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertClaire Valdez 76%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Julie Won 3.0%
Lincoln Restler <1%
$91,735 Vol.
$91,735 Vol.
Claire Valdez
76%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Julie Won
3%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Claire Valdez 76%
Antonio Reynoso 21%
Julie Won 3.0%
Lincoln Restler <1%
$91,735 Vol.
$91,735 Vol.
Claire Valdez
76%
Antonio Reynoso
21%
Julie Won
3%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 76% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her recent surge in progressive endorsements—including Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2 and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani—alongside strong grassroots fundraising, raising $750,000 from over 11,200 small donors in her launch period and outraising rivals per April 17 reports. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds second at 21% on backing from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez and the Queens County Democratic Party's quiet endorsement revealed April 6. No public polls exist yet, leaving odds shaped by these early catalysts ahead of today's Ridgewood forum and the two-month sprint, in a progressive district spanning Brooklyn and Queens where turnout among DSA and union voters could prove decisive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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