Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.6% for Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite ongoing grand jury probes into Obama-era intelligence officials like James Comey, John Brennan, and James Clapper over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Attorney General Pam Bondi's directives have fueled rhetoric—including President Trump's treason accusations and an AI-generated arrest video—but no primary evidence has implicated Obama personally in criminal conduct warranting prosecution. Obama's May 6 interview criticizing White House influence over DOJ prosecutions underscores partisan tensions, yet procedural hurdles, historical precedents against charging ex-presidents without overwhelming proof, and potential political backlash sustain the strong market tilt toward no arrest by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.6% for Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite ongoing grand jury probes into Obama-era intelligence officials like James Comey, John Brennan, and James Clapper over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Attorney General Pam Bondi's directives have fueled rhetoric—including President Trump's treason accusations and an AI-generated arrest video—but no primary evidence has implicated Obama personally in criminal conduct warranting prosecution. Obama's May 6 interview criticizing White House influence over DOJ prosecutions underscores partisan tensions, yet procedural hurdles, historical precedents against charging ex-presidents without overwhelming proof, and potential political backlash sustain the strong market tilt toward no arrest by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
Volumen
$7,481Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.6% for Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite ongoing grand jury probes into Obama-era intelligence officials like James Comey, John Brennan, and James Clapper over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Attorney General Pam Bondi's directives have fueled rhetoric—including President Trump's treason accusations and an AI-generated arrest video—but no primary evidence has implicated Obama personally in criminal conduct warranting prosecution. Obama's May 6 interview criticizing White House influence over DOJ prosecutions underscores partisan tensions, yet procedural hurdles, historical precedents against charging ex-presidents without overwhelming proof, and potential political backlash sustain the strong market tilt toward no arrest by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,481Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.6% for Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite ongoing grand jury probes into Obama-era intelligence officials like James Comey, John Brennan, and James Clapper over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard and Attorney General Pam Bondi's directives have fueled rhetoric—including President Trump's treason accusations and an AI-generated arrest video—but no primary evidence has implicated Obama personally in criminal conduct warranting prosecution. Obama's May 6 interview criticizing White House influence over DOJ prosecutions underscores partisan tensions, yet procedural hurdles, historical precedents against charging ex-presidents without overwhelming proof, and potential political backlash sustain the strong market tilt toward no arrest by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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