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Politik·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

icon for Who will be arrested before 2027?
Politik·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$118,042 Vol.

Polymarket

$118,042 Vol.

Polymarket

John Brennan

$6,657 Vol.

50%

Letitia James

$1,340 Vol.

29%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

$7,872 Vol.

28%

Mahmoud Khalil

$1,190 Vol.

27%

James Clapper

$2,645 Vol.

25%

Lee Jun-seok

$555 Vol.

21%

Tom Homan

$28,811 Vol.

20%

Brandon Johnson

$1,887 Vol.

11%

Lisa Cook

$523 Vol.

26%

Loretta Lynch

$437 Vol.

11%

Anthony Fauci

$8,098 Vol.

8%

Candace Owens

$257 Vol.

7%

John Kerry

$97 Vol.

7%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$275 Vol.

24%

Kash Patel

$153 Vol.

6%

Adam Schiff

$6,575 Vol.

6%

Hillary Clinton

$15,529 Vol.

6%

Gavin Newsom

$19,172 Vol.

5%

Pam Bondi

$1,539 Vol.

5%

James Comey

$9,224 Vol.

5%

Bill Clinton

$332 Vol.

4%

Joe Biden

$1,977 Vol.

4%

Barack Obama

$2,632 Vol.

3%

Susan Rice

$262 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal investigations and indictments pursued by the Department of Justice under the current administration represent the primary driver for trader positioning in this market. Recent actions include a second indictment of former FBI Director James Comey in April 2026 on charges related to a 2025 social media post, following an earlier dismissed case, alongside October 2025 charges against New York Attorney General Letitia James that were later partially set aside. Similar scrutiny targets former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Clapper through grand jury proceedings. These cases involve procedural steps like arraignments, potential arrest warrants, and appeals that could resolve before December 31, 2026, though outcomes remain subject to judicial rulings and shifting enforcement priorities. Traders monitor confirmation hearings, Senate oversight, and any new special counsel appointments for signals on escalation or dismissal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$118,042
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal investigations and indictments pursued by the Department of Justice under the current administration represent the primary driver for trader positioning in this market. Recent actions include a second indictment of former FBI Director James Comey in April 2026 on charges related to a 2025 social media post, following an earlier dismissed case, alongside October 2025 charges against New York Attorney General Letitia James that were later partially set aside. Similar scrutiny targets former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Clapper through grand jury proceedings. These cases involve procedural steps like arraignments, potential arrest warrants, and appeals that could resolve before December 31, 2026, though outcomes remain subject to judicial rulings and shifting enforcement priorities. Traders monitor confirmation hearings, Senate oversight, and any new special counsel appointments for signals on escalation or dismissal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$118,042
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Who will be arrested before 2027?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 24 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „John Brennan" mit 50%, gefolgt von „Susan Rice" mit 39%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Who will be arrested before 2027?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $118K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 30, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Who will be arrested before 2027?" ist „John Brennan" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Susan Rice" mit 39%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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