With over 91% of ballots counted by ONPE, Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's fragmented first-round presidential election at around 17%, while leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds second place at 12.1%—ahead of far-right Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular at 11.9%—driving trader consensus to price Sánchez at 67% implied probability for second. Recent rural and southern vote tallies since April 14 have propelled Sánchez's late surge, overtaking urban-strong Aliaga amid logistical delays that extended voting to April 13 and sparked unsubstantiated fraud claims. Remaining urban ballots could narrow the gap, but current math positions Sánchez for a June 7 runoff alongside Fujimori against the 30-candidate field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRoberto Sánchez Palomino 67.3%
Rafael López Aliaga 31%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,117,908 Vol.
$3,117,908 Vol.

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
67%

Rafael López Aliaga
31%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

José Luna
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Keiko Fujimori
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 67.3%
Rafael López Aliaga 31%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,117,908 Vol.
$3,117,908 Vol.

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
67%

Rafael López Aliaga
31%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

José Luna
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Keiko Fujimori
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 91% of ballots counted by ONPE, Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's fragmented first-round presidential election at around 17%, while leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds second place at 12.1%—ahead of far-right Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular at 11.9%—driving trader consensus to price Sánchez at 67% implied probability for second. Recent rural and southern vote tallies since April 14 have propelled Sánchez's late surge, overtaking urban-strong Aliaga amid logistical delays that extended voting to April 13 and sparked unsubstantiated fraud claims. Remaining urban ballots could narrow the gap, but current math positions Sánchez for a June 7 runoff alongside Fujimori against the 30-candidate field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen