Strong pre-release tracking and a robust $2.5 million opening day across 2,568 theaters underpin the market's 96.5% implied probability for a $6 million-plus opening weekend for the Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios. Positive early audience response, including an A- CinemaScore that aligns with comparable titles like The Beekeeper, combined with a 70% Rotten Tomatoes critic score and the stars' established draw, has fueled trader consensus around modest but solid results in a crowded September frame. Realistic upset paths to sub-$6 million include softer word-of-mouth eroding legs or heavier competition from Practical Magic 2 than anticipated, though the film's wide release and genre positioning make a sharp drop unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Runner" Eröffnungswochenende Abendkasse
"Runner" Eröffnungswochenende Abendkasse
6 Mio.+ 96.9%
5-6 Mio. 3.5%
<3 Mio. 1.9%
4–5 Mio. <1%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
<3 Mio.
2%
3-4 Mio.
<1%
4–5 Mio.
<1%
5-6 Mio.
4%
6 Mio.+
97%
6 Mio.+ 96.9%
5-6 Mio. 3.5%
<3 Mio. 1.9%
4–5 Mio. <1%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
<3 Mio.
$2,435 Vol.
2%
3-4 Mio.
$2,055 Vol.
<1%
4–5 Mio.
$612 Vol.
<1%
5-6 Mio.
$1,772 Vol.
4%
6 Mio.+
$1,379 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and a robust $2.5 million opening day across 2,568 theaters underpin the market's 96.5% implied probability for a $6 million-plus opening weekend for the Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios. Positive early audience response, including an A- CinemaScore that aligns with comparable titles like The Beekeeper, combined with a 70% Rotten Tomatoes critic score and the stars' established draw, has fueled trader consensus around modest but solid results in a crowded September frame. Realistic upset paths to sub-$6 million include softer word-of-mouth eroding legs or heavier competition from Practical Magic 2 than anticipated, though the film's wide release and genre positioning make a sharp drop unlikely.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Volumen
$8,253Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and a robust $2.5 million opening day across 2,568 theaters underpin the market's 96.5% implied probability for a $6 million-plus opening weekend for the Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios. Positive early audience response, including an A- CinemaScore that aligns with comparable titles like The Beekeeper, combined with a 70% Rotten Tomatoes critic score and the stars' established draw, has fueled trader consensus around modest but solid results in a crowded September frame. Realistic upset paths to sub-$6 million include softer word-of-mouth eroding legs or heavier competition from Practical Magic 2 than anticipated, though the film's wide release and genre positioning make a sharp drop unlikely.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$8,253Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Strong pre-release tracking and a robust $2.5 million opening day across 2,568 theaters underpin the market's 96.5% implied probability for a $6 million-plus opening weekend for the Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios. Positive early audience response, including an A- CinemaScore that aligns with comparable titles like The Beekeeper, combined with a 70% Rotten Tomatoes critic score and the stars' established draw, has fueled trader consensus around modest but solid results in a crowded September frame. Realistic upset paths to sub-$6 million include softer word-of-mouth eroding legs or heavier competition from Practical Magic 2 than anticipated, though the film's wide release and genre positioning make a sharp drop unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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