**Yabloko, Russia's liberal opposition party, consistently polls between 1.4% and 3% ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections, well below the 5% proportional-representation threshold required for seats.** Recent surveys from FOM, VTsIOM, and others place the party at roughly 2–2.8%, similar to its 1.2–1.3% result in 2021. The party secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal list in late July and drew the second ballot position, yet it faces extensive administrative measures, including the barring of at least 32 candidates, fines, detentions, raids on regional offices, and foreign-agent designations for members. These constraints, combined with the party's limited national infrastructure and the broader dominance of United Russia and aligned parties, have kept its support range unchanged in the final weeks before voting. Trader pricing at 95% “No” reflects this stable, sub-threshold positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRussland-Wahlen: Yabloko räumt Duma-Schwelle?
Russland-Wahlen: Yabloko räumt Duma-Schwelle?
Ja
6% Chance
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Ja
6% Chance
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**Yabloko, Russia's liberal opposition party, consistently polls between 1.4% and 3% ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections, well below the 5% proportional-representation threshold required for seats.** Recent surveys from FOM, VTsIOM, and others place the party at roughly 2–2.8%, similar to its 1.2–1.3% result in 2021.
The party secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal list in late July and drew the second ballot position, yet it faces extensive administrative measures, including the barring of at least 32 candidates, fines, detentions, raids on regional offices, and foreign-agent designations for members. These constraints, combined with the party's limited national infrastructure and the broader dominance of United Russia and aligned parties, have kept its support range unchanged in the final weeks before voting. Trader pricing at 95% “No” reflects this stable, sub-threshold positioning.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Volumen
$6,947Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**Yabloko, Russia's liberal opposition party, consistently polls between 1.4% and 3% ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections, well below the 5% proportional-representation threshold required for seats.** Recent surveys from FOM, VTsIOM, and others place the party at roughly 2–2.8%, similar to its 1.2–1.3% result in 2021.
The party secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal list in late July and drew the second ballot position, yet it faces extensive administrative measures, including the barring of at least 32 candidates, fines, detentions, raids on regional offices, and foreign-agent designations for members. These constraints, combined with the party's limited national infrastructure and the broader dominance of United Russia and aligned parties, have kept its support range unchanged in the final weeks before voting. Trader pricing at 95% “No” reflects this stable, sub-threshold positioning.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$6,947Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Yabloko, Russia's liberal opposition party, consistently polls between 1.4% and 3% ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections, well below the 5% proportional-representation threshold required for seats.** Recent surveys from FOM, VTsIOM, and others place the party at roughly 2–2.8%, similar to its 1.2–1.3% result in 2021. The party secured Central Election Commission registration of its federal list in late July and drew the second ballot position, yet it faces extensive administrative measures, including the barring of at least 32 candidates, fines, detentions, raids on regional offices, and foreign-agent designations for members. These constraints, combined with the party's limited national infrastructure and the broader dominance of United Russia and aligned parties, have kept its support range unchanged in the final weeks before voting. Trader pricing at 95% “No” reflects this stable, sub-threshold positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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