Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend trajectory is shaped by its record $360 million opening and sharp 60% second-weekend drop to $144 million, which set a high bar for holdover performance. Industry tracking places the frame in the $57–72 million range, with most estimates clustering near the middle as the film’s strong audience legs and lack of major new competition support a solid but moderated hold. Traders see the narrow 66–68 million band as the consensus sweet spot given typical big-franchise patterns after such a front-loaded debut, while the near-even split with sub-66 million reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can offset the steep prior decline before the August 14–16 frame locks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3. Wochenendkasse (niedrigere Treffer)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3. Wochenendkasse (niedrigere Treffer)
66-68m 53%
<66m 45%
68-70m 4%
72 Mio.+ <1%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
<66m
45%
66-68m
53%
68-70m
4%
70-72m
<1%
72 Mio.+
<1%
66-68m 53%
<66m 45%
68-70m 4%
72 Mio.+ <1%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
<66m
$2,669 Vol.
45%
66-68m
$2,231 Vol.
53%
68-70m
$2,019 Vol.
4%
70-72m
$801 Vol.
<1%
72 Mio.+
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend trajectory is shaped by its record $360 million opening and sharp 60% second-weekend drop to $144 million, which set a high bar for holdover performance. Industry tracking places the frame in the $57–72 million range, with most estimates clustering near the middle as the film’s strong audience legs and lack of major new competition support a solid but moderated hold. Traders see the narrow 66–68 million band as the consensus sweet spot given typical big-franchise patterns after such a front-loaded debut, while the near-even split with sub-66 million reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can offset the steep prior decline before the August 14–16 frame locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volumen
$8,610Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend trajectory is shaped by its record $360 million opening and sharp 60% second-weekend drop to $144 million, which set a high bar for holdover performance. Industry tracking places the frame in the $57–72 million range, with most estimates clustering near the middle as the film’s strong audience legs and lack of major new competition support a solid but moderated hold. Traders see the narrow 66–68 million band as the consensus sweet spot given typical big-franchise patterns after such a front-loaded debut, while the near-even split with sub-66 million reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can offset the steep prior decline before the August 14–16 frame locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$8,610Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend trajectory is shaped by its record $360 million opening and sharp 60% second-weekend drop to $144 million, which set a high bar for holdover performance. Industry tracking places the frame in the $57–72 million range, with most estimates clustering near the middle as the film’s strong audience legs and lack of major new competition support a solid but moderated hold. Traders see the narrow 66–68 million band as the consensus sweet spot given typical big-franchise patterns after such a front-loaded debut, while the near-even split with sub-66 million reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can offset the steep prior decline before the August 14–16 frame locks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird das Einspielergebnis von "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" am dritten Wochenende weniger als 72 Mio. betragen?
98%
Ja
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
79%
Wird das gesamte Inlandsbrutto für Spider-Man: Brand New Day bis zum 31. August zwischen 800 Mio. und 900 Mio. liegen?
79%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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