Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5. Wochenendkasse
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5. Wochenendkasse
20-22 Mio. 43%
22-24 Mio. 43%
<20 Mio. 29%
26 Mio.+ 20%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
<20 Mio.
29%
20-22 Mio.
43%
22-24 Mio.
43%
24-26 Mio.
17%
26 Mio.+
20%
20-22 Mio. 43%
22-24 Mio. 43%
<20 Mio. 29%
26 Mio.+ 20%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
<20 Mio.
$1 Vol.
29%
20-22 Mio.
$0 Vol.
43%
22-24 Mio.
$0 Vol.
43%
24-26 Mio.
$0 Vol.
17%
26 Mio.+
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volumen
$1Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong audience retention after a record $360 million opening has kept *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* atop the domestic chart through its fourth weekend at $39 million, but successive drops of 60%, 51%, and 45% point to a fifth-frame range clustered around $20–24 million. Traders see the close 42.5% odds on the 20–22 million and 22–24 million brackets as reflecting steady legs of roughly 2.4x so far, tempered by typical superhero fatigue and the arrival of new wide releases. Historical patterns for similar MCU titles and the film’s still-dominant theater count support this tight band, while any sharper decline from competition could push results below $20 million. The upcoming Labor Day frame and daily tracking updates remain the next key signals for momentum shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird das gesamte Inlandsbrutto für Spider-Man: Brand New Day bis zum 31. August zwischen 800 Mio. und 900 Mio. liegen?
93%
Ja
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
94%
Wird das Eröffnungswochenende von "Coyote vs. Acme" mindestens 20 Mio. an den Kinokassen einspielen?
41%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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