Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding 92% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that transformed the district into a solidly conservative seat spanning rural northwest counties, western Williamson and Maury areas, and a portion of Memphis while removing most of Nashville. Hatcher, the former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer, defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from broad party establishment support. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong Republican partisan voting index and limited recent Democratic success. A handful of independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or unusually high turnout in Memphis precincts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-05 Wahlsieger
TN-05 Wahlsieger
$60,150 Vol.
$60,150 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
92%
Chaz Molder (D)
8%
$60,150 Vol.
$60,150 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
$28,755 Vol.
92%
Chaz Molder (D)
$31,395 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding 92% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that transformed the district into a solidly conservative seat spanning rural northwest counties, western Williamson and Maury areas, and a portion of Memphis while removing most of Nashville. Hatcher, the former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer, defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from broad party establishment support. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong Republican partisan voting index and limited recent Democratic success. A handful of independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or unusually high turnout in Memphis precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$60,150Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding 92% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that transformed the district into a solidly conservative seat spanning rural northwest counties, western Williamson and Maury areas, and a portion of Memphis while removing most of Nashville. Hatcher, the former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer, defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from broad party establishment support. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong Republican partisan voting index and limited recent Democratic success. A handful of independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or unusually high turnout in Memphis precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$60,150Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding 92% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that transformed the district into a solidly conservative seat spanning rural northwest counties, western Williamson and Maury areas, and a portion of Memphis while removing most of Nashville. Hatcher, the former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer, defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary and benefits from broad party establishment support. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district with a strong Republican partisan voting index and limited recent Democratic success. A handful of independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign developments such as scandals or unusually high turnout in Memphis precincts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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