Redistricting completed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 significantly altered the 5th district's boundaries, removing much of Davidson County and Nashville while preserving a stronger Republican tilt across remaining rural and suburban areas. This structural change underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces an August 6 primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their primary for the general election on November 3. Earlier Democratic targeting of the seat has been tempered by the new map, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-05 Wahlsieger
TN-05 Wahlsieger
$28,661 Vol.
$28,661 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
76%
Demokratische Partei
22%
$28,661 Vol.
$28,661 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$13,550 Vol.
76%
Demokratische Partei
$15,111 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting completed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 significantly altered the 5th district's boundaries, removing much of Davidson County and Nashville while preserving a stronger Republican tilt across remaining rural and suburban areas. This structural change underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces an August 6 primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their primary for the general election on November 3. Earlier Democratic targeting of the seat has been tempered by the new map, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$28,661Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting completed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 significantly altered the 5th district's boundaries, removing much of Davidson County and Nashville while preserving a stronger Republican tilt across remaining rural and suburban areas. This structural change underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces an August 6 primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their primary for the general election on November 3. Earlier Democratic targeting of the seat has been tempered by the new map, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,661Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting completed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 significantly altered the 5th district's boundaries, removing much of Davidson County and Nashville while preserving a stronger Republican tilt across remaining rural and suburban areas. This structural change underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles faces an August 6 primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, while Democrats including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder compete in their primary for the general election on November 3. Earlier Democratic targeting of the seat has been tempered by the new map, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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