Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-02 Wahlsieger
TN-02 Wahlsieger
$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,235 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$8,807 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$28,042Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,042Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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