Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in Knoxville and eastern Tennessee, carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and holds a presumptive general-election matchup against Democrat Michaela Barnett. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, low Democratic recruitment, and absence of competitive polling. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because structural factors—incumbency, fundraising edge, and redistricting completed in May 2026—have produced no meaningful shift in the race. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-02 Wahlsieger
TN-02 Wahlsieger
$24,592 Vol.
$24,592 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$24,592 Vol.
$24,592 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,023 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$5,569 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in Knoxville and eastern Tennessee, carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and holds a presumptive general-election matchup against Democrat Michaela Barnett. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, low Democratic recruitment, and absence of competitive polling. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because structural factors—incumbency, fundraising edge, and redistricting completed in May 2026—have produced no meaningful shift in the race. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$24,592Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in Knoxville and eastern Tennessee, carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and holds a presumptive general-election matchup against Democrat Michaela Barnett. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, low Democratic recruitment, and absence of competitive polling. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because structural factors—incumbency, fundraising edge, and redistricting completed in May 2026—have produced no meaningful shift in the race. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,592Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in Knoxville and eastern Tennessee, carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and holds a presumptive general-election matchup against Democrat Michaela Barnett. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, low Democratic recruitment, and absence of competitive polling. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because structural factors—incumbency, fundraising edge, and redistricting completed in May 2026—have produced no meaningful shift in the race. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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