Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, where the district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican voting patterns since the 19th century underpin trader consensus. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who emerged from a three-candidate primary. Historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles further support the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen legal issues affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-01 Wahlsieger
TN-01 Wahlsieger
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
3%
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Vol.
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,435 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, where the district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican voting patterns since the 19th century underpin trader consensus. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who emerged from a three-candidate primary. Historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles further support the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen legal issues affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$27,113Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, where the district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican voting patterns since the 19th century underpin trader consensus. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who emerged from a three-candidate primary. Historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles further support the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen legal issues affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,113Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, where the district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican voting patterns since the 19th century underpin trader consensus. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who emerged from a three-candidate primary. Historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles further support the implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen legal issues affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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