US forces conducted a brief special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve amid a months-long pressure campaign involving Caribbean strikes on alleged drug vessels and asset seizures. Since then, the Trump administration has maintained maximum-pressure measures, including sanctions enforcement, oil-related demands, and statements about overseeing a transition while engaging interim leader Delcy Rodríguez. Venezuela declared a state of emergency, with regional powers expressing mixed reactions ranging from criticism at the UN to selective support from some Latin American governments. Trader assessments of renewed entry hinge on whether ongoing narco-terrorism designations, energy negotiations, or regime compliance issues prompt additional deployments, alongside any scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments through late 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1,316,491 Vol.
31. Jan. 2026
30. Juni
6%
$1,316,491 Vol.
30. Juni
$231,728 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve amid a months-long pressure campaign involving Caribbean strikes on alleged drug vessels and asset seizures. Since then, the Trump administration has maintained maximum-pressure measures, including sanctions enforcement, oil-related demands, and statements about overseeing a transition while engaging interim leader Delcy Rodríguez. Venezuela declared a state of emergency, with regional powers expressing mixed reactions ranging from criticism at the UN to selective support from some Latin American governments. Trader assessments of renewed entry hinge on whether ongoing narco-terrorism designations, energy negotiations, or regime compliance issues prompt additional deployments, alongside any scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments through late 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,316,491Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve amid a months-long pressure campaign involving Caribbean strikes on alleged drug vessels and asset seizures. Since then, the Trump administration has maintained maximum-pressure measures, including sanctions enforcement, oil-related demands, and statements about overseeing a transition while engaging interim leader Delcy Rodríguez. Venezuela declared a state of emergency, with regional powers expressing mixed reactions ranging from criticism at the UN to selective support from some Latin American governments. Trader assessments of renewed entry hinge on whether ongoing narco-terrorism designations, energy negotiations, or regime compliance issues prompt additional deployments, alongside any scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments through late 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,316,491Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a brief special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve amid a months-long pressure campaign involving Caribbean strikes on alleged drug vessels and asset seizures. Since then, the Trump administration has maintained maximum-pressure measures, including sanctions enforcement, oil-related demands, and statements about overseeing a transition while engaging interim leader Delcy Rodríguez. Venezuela declared a state of emergency, with regional powers expressing mixed reactions ranging from criticism at the UN to selective support from some Latin American governments. Trader assessments of renewed entry hinge on whether ongoing narco-terrorism designations, energy negotiations, or regime compliance issues prompt additional deployments, alongside any scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments through late 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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