US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$3,104,767 Vol.
31. Jan. 2026
10. Januar
Nein
31. Januar
Nein
31. März
Nein
30. Juni
Ja
$3,104,767 Vol.
10. Januar
$510,719 Vol.
Nein
31. Januar
$569,370 Vol.
Nein
31. März
$4,674 Vol.
Nein
30. Juni
$2,020,004 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ET
Volumen
$3,104,767Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,104,767Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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