Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential vote with around 17% in official ONPE tallies reaching over 80% as of April 16, but the battle for second remains fiercely contested among Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12%), Jorge Nieto, and Alfonso López Chau, fueling trader consensus on "Other" at 58% implied probability for the June 7 runoff pairing. The López Aliaga-Fujimori duo holds 41% due to pre-election polls showing them as fragmented field's frontrunners, yet Sánchez's late surge in rural and urban-rural actas has eroded Aliaga's edge amid fraud claims, protests, and logistical chaos that delayed voting and counting from the April 12-13 election. No candidate nears 50%, ensuring a runoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAndere 57.5%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 41%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$975,014 Vol.
$975,014 Vol.
Andere
57%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
41%
Fujimori & Nieto
<1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Andere 57.5%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 41%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$975,014 Vol.
$975,014 Vol.
Andere
57%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
41%
Fujimori & Nieto
<1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential vote with around 17% in official ONPE tallies reaching over 80% as of April 16, but the battle for second remains fiercely contested among Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12%), Jorge Nieto, and Alfonso López Chau, fueling trader consensus on "Other" at 58% implied probability for the June 7 runoff pairing. The López Aliaga-Fujimori duo holds 41% due to pre-election polls showing them as fragmented field's frontrunners, yet Sánchez's late surge in rural and urban-rural actas has eroded Aliaga's edge amid fraud claims, protests, and logistical chaos that delayed voting and counting from the April 12-13 election. No candidate nears 50%, ensuring a runoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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