Market icon
Politik·Trump

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Market icon
Politik·Trump

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Stephen Miller 50%

Scott Bessent 50%

Howard Lutnick 50%

Peter Hegseth 50%

Polymarket
NEU

Stephen Miller 50%

Scott Bessent 50%

Howard Lutnick 50%

Peter Hegseth 50%

Polymarket
NEU

Stephen Miller

$0 Vol.

50%

Scott Bessent

$0 Vol.

50%

Howard Lutnick

$0 Vol.

50%

Peter Hegseth

$0 Vol.

50%

Brooke Rollins

$0 Vol.

50%

Linda McMahon

$0 Vol.

50%

Susie Wiles

$0 Vol.

50%

Erika Kirk

$0 Vol.

50%

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

50%

Anna Kelly

$0 Vol.

50%

Taylor Rogers

$0 Vol.

50%

Liz Huston

$0 Vol.

50%

JD Vance

$0 Vol.

50%

Abigail Jackson

$0 Vol.

50%

Tom Homan

$0 Vol.

50%

Pamela Bondi

$0 Vol.

49%

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Anticipation of White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's maternity leave in May, as she awaits her second child, drives trader consensus in this market, with no prior substitutes named since her January 2025 start. Odds remain tightly clustered at 49.5% across deputies like Principal Deputy Anna Kelly, Assistant Press Secretaries Taylor Rogers and Liz Huston, alongside senior allies including Marco Rubio, Stephen Miller, Susie Wiles, and JD Vance, reflecting the administration's silence on preferences and President Trump's history of unpredictable personnel choices for short-term roles. Recent speculation, including reports positioning Kelly as a frontrunner due to her communications experience, has yet to shift sentiment amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. An official announcement or her first absence could quickly separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Anticipation of White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's maternity leave in May, as she awaits her second child, drives trader consensus in this market, with no prior substitutes named since her January 2025 start. Odds remain tightly clustered at 49.5% across deputies like Principal Deputy Anna Kelly, Assistant Press Secretaries Taylor Rogers and Liz Huston, alongside senior allies including Marco Rubio, Stephen Miller, Susie Wiles, and JD Vance, reflecting the administration's silence on preferences and President Trump's history of unpredictable personnel choices for short-term roles. Recent speculation, including reports positioning Kelly as a frontrunner due to her communications experience, has yet to shift sentiment amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. An official announcement or her first absence could quickly separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Stephen Miller" mit 50%, gefolgt von „Scott Bessent" mit 50%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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