Market icon
Politik·Trump

Trump approval rating on April 10?

Market icon
Politik·Trump

Trump approval rating on April 10?

Apr. 4

Apr. 11

Apr. 4

Apr. 11

39.5–39.9 61%

39.0–39.4 31%

38.5–38.9 30%

40.0–40.4 27%

Polymarket
NEU

39.5–39.9 61%

39.0–39.4 31%

38.5–38.9 30%

40.0–40.4 27%

Polymarket
NEU

<38.5

$180 Vol.

15%

38.5–38.9

$0 Vol.

30%

39.0–39.4

$0 Vol.

31%

39.5–39.9

$163 Vol.

38%

40.0–40.4

$0 Vol.

27%

40.5+

$523 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on President Trump's approval rating falling in the 38.5–39.9% range by April 10, aligning with recent national polling averages around 39% from outlets like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin and RealClearPolling, which dipped below 40% for the first time in his second term as of April 3. This tight clustering reflects volatility from a CNN poll three days ago showing his economy handling at a record-low 31% approval amid persistent high inflation and rising gas prices, compounded by ongoing Iran tensions and reports of eroding support among working-class white voters. Divergences across pollsters—Fox News at 41%, Quinnipiac at 38%—keep outcomes competitive; fresh economic data, diplomatic developments on Iran, or White House announcements could widen separation before resolution.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$847
Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on President Trump's approval rating falling in the 38.5–39.9% range by April 10, aligning with recent national polling averages around 39% from outlets like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin and RealClearPolling, which dipped below 40% for the first time in his second term as of April 3. This tight clustering reflects volatility from a CNN poll three days ago showing his economy handling at a record-low 31% approval amid persistent high inflation and rising gas prices, compounded by ongoing Iran tensions and reports of eroding support among working-class white voters. Divergences across pollsters—Fox News at 41%, Quinnipiac at 38%—keep outcomes competitive; fresh economic data, diplomatic developments on Iran, or White House announcements could widen separation before resolution.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$847
Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Trump approval rating on April 10?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „39.5–39.9" mit 38%, gefolgt von „39.0–39.4" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 38¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Trump approval rating on April 10?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Trump approval rating on April 10?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Trump approval rating on April 10?" ist „39.5–39.9" mit 38%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „39.0–39.4" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Trump approval rating on April 10?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.