Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain confirmations and Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April 7 report affirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, dismissing Nikkei claims of engineering delays as overstated. Trial production milestones hit in early April, with mass production now slated for August despite minor slips from June, signal steady progress on the book-style foldable featuring a 7.7-inch inner display and reduced crease. Historical Apple launch patterns support this timeline, though limited initial supply and premium pricing above $2,000 could temper adoption; watch for WWDC hints or further supplier updates as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$142,375 Vol.
$142,375 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$142,375 Vol.
$142,375 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain confirmations and Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April 7 report affirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, dismissing Nikkei claims of engineering delays as overstated. Trial production milestones hit in early April, with mass production now slated for August despite minor slips from June, signal steady progress on the book-style foldable featuring a 7.7-inch inner display and reduced crease. Historical Apple launch patterns support this timeline, though limited initial supply and premium pricing above $2,000 could temper adoption; watch for WWDC hints or further supplier updates as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$142,375Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain confirmations and Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April 7 report affirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, dismissing Nikkei claims of engineering delays as overstated. Trial production milestones hit in early April, with mass production now slated for August despite minor slips from June, signal steady progress on the book-style foldable featuring a 7.7-inch inner display and reduced crease. Historical Apple launch patterns support this timeline, though limited initial supply and premium pricing above $2,000 could temper adoption; watch for WWDC hints or further supplier updates as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$142,375Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 85% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain confirmations and Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman's April 7 report affirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, dismissing Nikkei claims of engineering delays as overstated. Trial production milestones hit in early April, with mass production now slated for August despite minor slips from June, signal steady progress on the book-style foldable featuring a 7.7-inch inner display and reduced crease. Historical Apple launch patterns support this timeline, though limited initial supply and premium pricing above $2,000 could temper adoption; watch for WWDC hints or further supplier updates as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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