Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79.5% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, propelled by mid-April 2026 supply chain reports confirming the device—dubbed iPhone Fold or Ultra—has entered trial production ahead of a targeted September launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg sources indicate the project remains on track for mass production in July, with a book-style design featuring a 7.7-inch crease-free inner display from suppliers like Samsung Display and Foxconn. This momentum builds on years of prototypes and leaks, countering competitive pressure from Samsung's Galaxy Z series, though recent hiccups in hinge design and pricing negotiations introduce slippage risk typical of Apple's iterative hardware timelines. Watch for WWDC updates or further leaks as resolution nears by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$131,855 Vol.
$131,855 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$131,855 Vol.
$131,855 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79.5% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, propelled by mid-April 2026 supply chain reports confirming the device—dubbed iPhone Fold or Ultra—has entered trial production ahead of a targeted September launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg sources indicate the project remains on track for mass production in July, with a book-style design featuring a 7.7-inch crease-free inner display from suppliers like Samsung Display and Foxconn. This momentum builds on years of prototypes and leaks, countering competitive pressure from Samsung's Galaxy Z series, though recent hiccups in hinge design and pricing negotiations introduce slippage risk typical of Apple's iterative hardware timelines. Watch for WWDC updates or further leaks as resolution nears by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$131,855Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79.5% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, propelled by mid-April 2026 supply chain reports confirming the device—dubbed iPhone Fold or Ultra—has entered trial production ahead of a targeted September launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg sources indicate the project remains on track for mass production in July, with a book-style design featuring a 7.7-inch crease-free inner display from suppliers like Samsung Display and Foxconn. This momentum builds on years of prototypes and leaks, countering competitive pressure from Samsung's Galaxy Z series, though recent hiccups in hinge design and pricing negotiations introduce slippage risk typical of Apple's iterative hardware timelines. Watch for WWDC updates or further leaks as resolution nears by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$131,855Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79.5% implied probability to Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, propelled by mid-April 2026 supply chain reports confirming the device—dubbed iPhone Fold or Ultra—has entered trial production ahead of a targeted September launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg sources indicate the project remains on track for mass production in July, with a book-style design featuring a 7.7-inch crease-free inner display from suppliers like Samsung Display and Foxconn. This momentum builds on years of prototypes and leaks, countering competitive pressure from Samsung's Galaxy Z series, though recent hiccups in hinge design and pricing negotiations introduce slippage risk typical of Apple's iterative hardware timelines. Watch for WWDC updates or further leaks as resolution nears by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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