Russian forces continue low-intensity infiltration operations toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction southeast of Kupyansk in Kharkiv Oblast, with geolocated footage from April 23 showing Ukrainian strikes repelling positions in the eastern outskirts after Russian probes. Ongoing clashes persist near Kurylivka and Pishchane, where Russian advances earlier in April positioned assault groups closer to the settlement, though Ukrainian counterattacks have stalled further progress amid resource shortages from Russian strikes on Oskil River crossings. No confirmed Russian entry into Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi has occurred, leaving the frontline contested; traders monitor daily battlefield reports, drone footage, and logistics disruptions as potential catalysts ahead of any resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
$205,172 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
April 30
Yes
May 31
Yes
$205,172 Vol.
April 30
$187,880 Vol.
Yes
May 31
$17,292 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue low-intensity infiltration operations toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction southeast of Kupyansk in Kharkiv Oblast, with geolocated footage from April 23 showing Ukrainian strikes repelling positions in the eastern outskirts after Russian probes. Ongoing clashes persist near Kurylivka and Pishchane, where Russian advances earlier in April positioned assault groups closer to the settlement, though Ukrainian counterattacks have stalled further progress amid resource shortages from Russian strikes on Oskil River crossings. No confirmed Russian entry into Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi has occurred, leaving the frontline contested; traders monitor daily battlefield reports, drone footage, and logistics disruptions as potential catalysts ahead of any resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volumen
$205,172Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue low-intensity infiltration operations toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction southeast of Kupyansk in Kharkiv Oblast, with geolocated footage from April 23 showing Ukrainian strikes repelling positions in the eastern outskirts after Russian probes. Ongoing clashes persist near Kurylivka and Pishchane, where Russian advances earlier in April positioned assault groups closer to the settlement, though Ukrainian counterattacks have stalled further progress amid resource shortages from Russian strikes on Oskil River crossings. No confirmed Russian entry into Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi has occurred, leaving the frontline contested; traders monitor daily battlefield reports, drone footage, and logistics disruptions as potential catalysts ahead of any resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$205,172Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Russian forces continue low-intensity infiltration operations toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction southeast of Kupyansk in Kharkiv Oblast, with geolocated footage from April 23 showing Ukrainian strikes repelling positions in the eastern outskirts after Russian probes. Ongoing clashes persist near Kurylivka and Pishchane, where Russian advances earlier in April positioned assault groups closer to the settlement, though Ukrainian counterattacks have stalled further progress amid resource shortages from Russian strikes on Oskil River crossings. No confirmed Russian entry into Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi has occurred, leaving the frontline contested; traders monitor daily battlefield reports, drone footage, and logistics disruptions as potential catalysts ahead of any resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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